Case 62 / 183 Analyst

Merger Consequences Model

M&A & Deal Analysis

The prompt

“Combining two companies: key assumptions and what the output tells you”

📋 What you're given

As an M&A analyst, you are tasked with building a merger consequences model for an acquisition — combining the acquirer and target's financials, incorporating the deal's cash and stock mix and financing costs, to determine whether the deal is accretive or dilutive to the acquirer's earnings per share.

1. Task Overview

Task: combine the acquirer's and target's financials with the deal's financing assumptions to compute pro forma combined net income and pro forma diluted EPS, and compare that to the acquirer's standalone EPS.

Step 1: Given Data — Company and Deal Assumptions

These are the standalone financials for both companies and the terms of the proposed deal.

Line ItemValue
Acquirer Net Income$150.0m
Acquirer Diluted Shares Outstanding50.0m
Acquirer Share Price$40.00
Target Net Income$40.0m
Total Purchase Price$600.0m
Cash Consideration60% (0.60)
Stock Consideration40% (0.40)
New Debt Interest Rate6.0% (0.06)
Annual Pre-Tax Synergies$10.0m
Tax Rate25.0% (0.25)

Step 2: Cash and Stock Consideration Split

Show Consideration Split Formula

Cash Consideration = Purchase Price × Cash %; Stock Consideration = Purchase Price × Stock %

Using this formula, compute the dollar amount of cash and stock consideration.

Step 3: New Shares Issued

Show New Shares Issued Formula

New Shares Issued = Stock Consideration / Acquirer Share Price

Using this formula, compute how many new acquirer shares must be issued to fund the stock portion.

Step 4: After-Tax Incremental Interest Expense

Show After-Tax Interest Expense Formula

After-Tax Interest Expense = New Debt × Interest Rate × (1 - Tax Rate)

Using this formula, compute the after-tax cost of the new debt raised to fund the cash consideration.

Step 5: Pro Forma Combined Net Income and EPS

Show After-Tax Synergies Formula

After-Tax Synergies = Pre-Tax Synergies × (1 - Tax Rate)

Assume:

  • The full cash consideration is funded entirely with new debt, not existing cash
  • No incremental D&A from purchase accounting step-ups is modeled

Using these inputs together with the results from the earlier steps, compute pro forma combined net income, pro forma diluted shares outstanding, and pro forma EPS.

💡 Model answer

Try answering out loud first — then reveal the model answer and compare.

⚠️ Common mistakes

  • Forgetting to tax-affect both the incremental interest expense and the after-tax synergies before combining net income
  • Using the acquirer's pre-deal share count instead of adding the new shares issued for the stock portion
  • Assuming the deal is all-cash or all-stock without checking the actual consideration mix given
  • Ignoring foregone interest income when existing cash (rather than new debt) funds part of the purchase price
  • Treating EPS accretion as proof the deal creates value — a deal can be accretive to EPS and still fail to earn its cost of capital

🔁 Follow-up questions

➡️ Related cases

Previous Case 61: Full Accretion/Dilution Analysis Next Case 63: Synergy Case: Revenue and Cost

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