“You're valuing an emerging-market subsidiary using a DCF built around local-currency cash flow forecasts. Your standard domestic WACC model doesn't capture the extra risk of operating in that country, the mismatch between the currency of your cash flows and the currency your risk-free rate is quoted in, or the illiquidity of the underlying business. Walk through how to adjust WACC for the country risk premium, correct the currency mismatch, and layer in an illiquidity premium — then compute the fully adjusted cost of capital.”
You're valuing an emerging-market subsidiary using a DCF built around local-currency cash flow forecasts. Your standard domestic WACC model doesn't capture the extra risk of operating in that country, the mismatch between the currency of your cash flows and the currency your risk-free rate is quoted in, or the illiquidity of the underlying business. Walk through how to adjust WACC for the country risk premium, correct the currency mismatch, and layer in an illiquidity premium — then compute the fully adjusted cost of capital.
Task: build up a fully adjusted WACC for an emerging-market subsidiary, starting from a domestic CAPM cost of equity and layering in a country risk premium, a currency adjustment, and an illiquidity premium.
These are the market inputs and target capital structure for the subsidiary.
| Line Item | Value |
|---|---|
| US 10-Year Treasury Yield (Risk-Free Rate) | 4.0% |
| US Equity Risk Premium | 5.5% |
| Levered Beta (Comparable Public Companies) | 1.10 |
| Country's USD-Denominated Sovereign Bond Spread over US Treasuries | 2.5% |
| Ratio of Country Equity Index Volatility to Country Bond Index Volatility | 1.3x |
| Local Currency Inflation Rate | 6.0% |
| US Dollar Inflation Rate | 2.5% |
| Illiquidity Premium | 1.5% |
| Pre-Tax Cost of Debt (Local Currency) | 8.0% |
| Corporate Tax Rate | 25% (0.25) |
| Target Debt / Equity Ratio | 0.50 |
Cost of Equity (USD) = Risk-Free Rate + β × Equity Risk Premium
Using this formula, compute the base cost of equity in USD.
Country Risk Premium = Sovereign Bond Spread × (Country Equity Volatility / Country Bond Volatility)
Using this formula, compute the country risk premium.
Cost of Equity (USD, country-adjusted) = Base Cost of Equity + Country Risk Premium
Using this formula, compute the country-adjusted cost of equity.
Cost of Equity (Local Currency) = (1 + Cost of Equity (USD, country-adjusted)) × (1 + Local Inflation) / (1 + USD Inflation) − 1
Using this formula, compute the currency-adjusted cost of equity in local-currency terms.
Cost of Equity (Final) = Cost of Equity (Local Currency) + Illiquidity Premium
Using this formula, compute the fully adjusted cost of equity.
WACC = E/(D+E) × Re + D/(D+E) × Rd × (1 − Tax Rate)
Assume:
Using these inputs, compute the fully adjusted WACC.
Try answering out loud first — then reveal the model answer and compare.
No comments yet — be the first to ask a question.